The Impact of News on Financial Markets

How do economic announcements affect financial markets? ... And answers to other burning questions by an econometrician.

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

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Update ... June 2012. Over the last couple of years I have had several people contact me about this research. I have also had a lot of s...
Thursday, April 05, 2007

Presentation, the decline of the blog (and the end of this one)

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As promised, the research paper and presentation that summarize my research are posted here. An appropriate article, reproduced below, fro...
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Sunday, April 01, 2007

Almost the end - research paper

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It is not news that news moves financial markets. This blog will publish research on how, when, why, and which news moves what financial ma...
Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Correlation of Currencies - Normal and Stressed

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Correlations can be useful tools. FX Traders often use them to confirm movements following an announcement. For example, if a trader is ex...
Friday, March 16, 2007

Thursday, April 5, 2007

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TABE Luncheon, Thursday, April 5, 2007 The Impact of Economic News on Financial Markets John Parker, Principal, Relevant Economics ...
Friday, March 09, 2007

Charts for Survey vs. Derivatives Based Forecast Comparisons

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In the last few posts I showed the statistics that show that the economic derivatives forecast outperforms the consensus for the nonfarm pa...

NFP: Superior Derivatives-Based Forecasts - Confirmed

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Refet S. Gürkaynak and Justin Wolfers compared the Consensus of Economists or survey-based forecasts with the economic derivatives or marke...

A Consensus of Economists

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How well do economists predict the U.S. nonfarm payrolls? I picked up the consensus forecast for the NFP from the NASDAQ website (from Eco...

Nonfarm payroll employment - whose better?

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Nonfarm payrolls for February 2007 (released today, Friday March 9th at 8:30am) continued to trend up (+97,000). Details are here . Yeste...
Thursday, March 08, 2007

What Can You Expect from the March Nonfarm Payroll Release?

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As I have discussed before in this blog, the best information about an upcoming nonfarm payrolls release comes f...
Friday, February 23, 2007

It's All About Me

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Time for some self-promotion. I have written a fair bit about announcements, market expectations, and using scenarios for risk manageme...

Consensus Forecasts and Herd Mentality

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This is the third and final note about a post by the FX guru of Nova Scotia , Tom Yeomans, entitled “ Is news trading dead ?” Tom talk...
Thursday, February 22, 2007

Trading Scenarios

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I’ve been thinking some more about a post by the FX guru of Nova Scotia , Tom Yeomans, entitled “ Is news trading dead ?” In a tremendousl...
Wednesday, February 21, 2007

A Short History of News Trading

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I’ve been thinking about a post by the FX guru Tom Yeomans entitled “ Is news trading dead? ” In a tremendously interesting and informativ...
Friday, February 09, 2007

See Me Perform - Live and In-Person

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This is an early warning that I will be giving a presentation on the impact of news on financial markets to the Toronto Association for ...
Wednesday, February 07, 2007

NFP FX Correlation Matrix

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It is not news that news moves financial markets. This blog will publish research on how, when, why, and which news moves what financial m...
Tuesday, February 06, 2007

Retail Sales Correlations

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t is not news that news moves financial markets. This blog will publish research on how, when, why, and which news moves what financial ma...
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